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“Jim O’Neill Credits Modi for India’s Growing Influence Among G7 & BRICS Nations”

Er Mukesh Singh

Jim O’Neill, creator of the BRICS acronym, emphasizes India’s unique position in the global landscape, citing its young population, demand-driven growth, and strong ties with both G7 and BRICS nations. He credits Prime Minister Modi’s leadership for this diplomatic success and highlights that the next decade is crucial for India to leverage these strengths to emerge as a leading global economy.

Jim O’Neill, the former Chief Economist at Goldman Sachs and the creator of the BRICS acronym, spoke at the Times Network India Economic Conclave in an interview with ET Now. O’Neill highlighted India’s strategic position on the global stage, noting that the country is “wanted as a friend by everyone in the G7 and by everybody in the BRICS.” He pointed out that no other nation holds such a unique position of diplomatic importance at this stage, a testament to India’s growing influence and global relevance.

He credited Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi for playing a key role in fostering these relationships, which have positioned India as a critical player in both Western and emerging-market circles. However, O’Neill acknowledged that whether this success is directly attributable to Modi’s leadership or not, India’s current standing is a highly fortunate development in a complex global environment.

O’Neill’s comments underscore the growing recognition of India’s potential as a major global economic and political power, with its young population, robust growth driven by domestic demand, and strategic geopolitical positioning contributing to its rise. He also stressed that the next decade is crucial for India to build on these advantages and continue its trajectory toward becoming a global economic leader.

Yes, it is true that Jim O’Neill coined the acronym BRIC, which stands for Brazil, Russia, India, and China. O’Neill, who was the Chief Economist at Goldman Sachs at the time, introduced the term in 2001 to highlight the emerging market economies of these four countries. The BRIC nations have since become a significant grouping, with India playing a key role in this bloc, and the group expanded to BRICS in 2010 with the inclusion of South Africa.

Jim O’Neill expressed pride in coining the BRIC acronym, acknowledging that it has led to opportunities for him, like being invited to significant events 23 years later. While he didn’t anticipate how impactful BRIC would become, O’Neill feels fortunate for the recognition and attention the term has garnered over the years. Despite the current challenges facing BRIC, his sense of pride stems from the lasting legacy of the concept he helped create.

COURTESY: BBC News Hindi

Jim O’Neill clarified that in the original BRIC acronym, “B” stood for Brazil, “R” for Russia, “I” for India, and “C” for China. He mentioned that the “S” in BRICS was always intended to be lowercase, indicating its plural form, rather than a part of the original group. O’Neill also noted that he never included South Africa when initially conceptualizing BRIC, although South Africa later joined the group, making it BRICS.

Jim O’Neill reflected that until 2017, China was consistently a positive surprise in the BRICS grouping, as it grew significantly and garnered global attention. However, he acknowledged that the dynamics have shifted, and India is now emerging as a focal point, gaining more recognition. O’Neill did not give a clear answer regarding which BRIC nation had disappointed him, as the question itself was complex, but he emphasized how China’s trajectory and India’s increasing prominence were noteworthy developments.

Jim O’Neill noted that since 2017, China has faced numerous challenges, while India has steadily advanced, aligning closely with projections made over two decades ago. He pointed out that India is on track to surpass Japan and Germany in size, a forecast that has unfolded slightly ahead of Japan and a bit slower with Germany. O’Neill highlighted that this trajectory positions India to play a critical role in the global economy over the next decade, making it an exciting period for the country’s growth and development.

Jim O’Neill emphasized that for India to build significant momentum and become the third-largest economy in the world, this must occur in the next five to ten years. After that period, the country’s demographic dividend may start to decline. Regarding disappointments within the BRICS nations, O’Neill mentioned Russia and Brazil, noting that they suffer from the “commodities curse.” This refers to the over-reliance on natural resources and commodities, which can hinder long-term economic diversification and growth. O’Neill pointed out that many countries with abundant commodities have faced challenges in achieving sustainable development.

Jim O’Neill discussed the unique position of India in the global economy, comparing it to the historical trajectories of other countries. He explained that the United States became the largest economy through constant innovation, leading to increased productivity. On the other hand, China secured its position as a global manufacturing hub, gaining significant prominence. O’Neill highlighted India’s unique selling point (USP), emphasizing its demographic advantage and domestic demand-driven growth. He sees India as a country with a youthful population that can fuel consumption and innovation, enabling it to capitalize on opportunities as it develops its infrastructure and technology sectors. This makes India’s growth model distinct from both the U.S. and China’s paths.

COURTESY: Aaj Tak

Jim O’Neill highlighted India’s unique position among emerging economies like Indonesia and Nigeria. He noted that Indonesia, while an emerging market, is more closed, and Nigeria, though beautiful, has challenges due to its smaller population and complex issues. In comparison, India stands out in the BRICS group due to its large and dynamic population, which gives it a distinct advantage.

O’Neill also pointed out that India’s growth has been largely driven by domestic demand, which has been beneficial in the context of global shifts, particularly in a world influenced by factors like those seen during Donald Trump’s presidency. This focus on domestic consumption, rather than relying heavily on exports, gives India a certain resilience and growth potential as the global economy faces uncertainties.

Jim O’Neill noted that one of India’s weaknesses, often pointed out by economists, is its relatively small share of global trade compared to other successful Asian economies. However, he suggested that, in the short term, this might actually work in India’s favor. As global trade dynamics shift, particularly with the potential use of tariffs or tariff threats, especially under leaders like Donald Trump, India could be less vulnerable to these pressures. Unlike heavily trade-dependent countries, India’s more domestic demand-driven growth model may shield it from some of these risks.

Jim O’Neill highlighted that India’s unique position on the global stage is a significant advantage. India is “wanted as a friend by everyone in the G7 and by everybody in the BRICs,” a rare position no other country currently holds. While O’Neill credited some of this to the leadership of Prime Minister Modi, he also emphasized that this situation, whether by fortune, luck, or deliberate strategy, is incredibly beneficial for India at this complicated juncture in world affairs.

Jim O’Neill pointed out that one of India’s major successes in the past two decades is its role in global services support and exports, with the English language playing a significant role in this achievement. The widespread use of English in India is a key factor that sets it apart from other BRICS countries, particularly in the context of global business and services. O’Neill believes that India has the potential to further exploit these strengths, which could benefit even more of its population.

Jim O’Neill responded to Nikunj Dalmia’s query about India’s growth in a volatile global environment by highlighting that India’s growth has often been driven by domestic demand. Unlike many other nations whose growth is highly dependent on global trade, India has a significant domestic consumption base that can support its growth even in times of global economic contraction. This unique characteristic positions India advantageously in a world that may be facing economic uncertainties or volatility.

Jim O’Neill made a comparison between India’s growth prospects and Germany’s post-COVID struggles. He pointed out that Germany has become more vulnerable due to external factors, like its dependence on China and the shift towards electric cars, which has weakened its global position. In contrast, India does not face similar risks, especially when it comes to sectors like global outsourcing and services. While there is a potential risk in the event of a collapse in the global internet or outsourcing services, O’Neill emphasized that India is less exposed to such vulnerabilities compared to other nations.

COURTESY: Bharatiya Janata Party

Jim O’Neill discussed the potential for India to maintain a 6-7% growth rate over the next couple of decades, acknowledging the key factors contributing to this possibility. He mentioned India’s macroeconomic and political stability, the control of fiscal deficits, a large population with English proficiency, and a growing spirit of entrepreneurship among the younger generation. These elements, he suggested, form a strong foundation for sustained growth. O’Neill emphasized that India is well-positioned to benefit from these factors in the long term, as it continues to leverage its advantages on the global stage.

Jim O’Neill emphasized the importance of India’s growth ambition, noting that while a 6% growth rate would lead to modest improvements in GDP per capita, aiming for 8-9% growth would significantly accelerate the country’s development. He pointed out that India’s current GDP per capita is around $3,000, and to make a meaningful impact, higher growth is essential. O’Neill also referenced the progress in India’s higher education sector, citing the increase in the number of recognized universities and tertiary institutions since 2007, suggesting that this growth in educational infrastructure is a promising sign for the country’s future.

Jim O’Neill praised India’s advancements in digital infrastructure, particularly the introduction of initiatives like UPI (Unified Payments Interface), Aadhaar (a national identification system), and the widespread availability of geo-broadband. These digital innovations are seen as crucial for driving productivity gains, especially in areas like artificial intelligence (AI) and digital technology, which are key for future growth.

He acknowledged that India is making significant strides in this space, noting that the country is well-positioned in terms of global standards and rates of change. While he didn’t specify a detailed comparison with other nations, the underlying message was that India’s digital initiatives are indeed helping it keep pace with global technological advancements. India’s focus on digital inclusion and building a strong technological backbone provides a solid foundation for future growth, especially in sectors relying on AI and digital transformation.

Jim O’Neill praised India’s development of UPI (Unified Payments Interface), recalling that when the concept was first introduced, he recognized its potential for India. He highlighted that, at the time, UPI was a bold initiative, even before Modi became Prime Minister. O’Neill commended the success of UPI, noting that it has become a powerful tool for India and set an example for other countries, many of which struggle to implement similar systems. His acknowledgment underscores India’s leadership in digital payments and innovation, marking UPI as a significant achievement in the country’s technological evolution.

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  456. External links
  457. References
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  609. External links
  610. References
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  762. External links
  763. References
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  915. External lin
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