Here are the key developments on the 1,048th day of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Fighting

• Russian Forces Capture Dachenske: Russia’s Ministry of Defence claimed the capture of the village of Dachenske, located south of Pokrovsk in the Donetsk region. This area remains a strategic target for Russian forces.
• Russian Drone Strike in Kherson: Ukrainian police reported a Russian drone attack on a bus in a Kherson neighborhood on Monday, resulting in one death and eight injuries.
• Heavy Russian Losses in Kursk: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that Russia has sustained significant losses in the five-month-long Ukrainian offensive into the Kursk region, with nearly 15,000 Russian troops killed.
• Impact of Kursk Offensive: The ongoing occupation of the southern Russian region of Kursk by Ukrainian forces has allowed Kyiv’s military to create a buffer zone. This strategic move has forced Moscow to redirect military units away from the front-line areas in eastern Ukraine.
• Ukrainian Soldiers Desert in France: Several dozen Ukrainian soldiers who were undergoing training in France have reportedly deserted, according to a French army official speaking to the AFP news agency.
• Disciplinary Actions: The deserters are now subject to a disciplinary regime, which has been imposed by the Ukrainian command as part of efforts to address the issue.
• Training in France: The soldiers had been receiving military training in France as part of broader international support for Ukraine amidst its ongoing conflict with Russia.
• Desertion During Foreign Training: The desertion occurred during a period of heightened international military cooperation, where Ukrainian soldiers have been trained by several NATO countries to strengthen their combat capabilities against Russian forces.
• Impact on Ukrainian Forces: While the desertion may be a significant concern, it reflects the pressures and strains faced by Ukrainian soldiers, especially those serving in foreign territories away from home.
• French Military’s Response: The French army has stated that the desertion is being handled according to the agreements between the Ukrainian forces and the training countries, ensuring that Ukrainian military protocols are upheld.
• Ukrainian Military’s Disciplinary Measures: Ukraine’s military command has taken swift action to address the issue by instituting a disciplinary system to manage the situation, ensuring that deserters are held accountable.
• Broader Context of Desertions: While desertions in conflict situations are not uncommon, especially in high-stress environments like the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, this event highlights the challenges of maintaining troop morale and discipline even among allied nations.

Politics and diplomacy

• Macron’s Caution on Territorial Expectations: French President Emmanuel Macron emphasized the need for Ukraine to have “realistic” expectations about territorial gains as it continues its fight against Russia. He warned that the war’s resolution will not be quick or simple.
• Acknowledging the Ongoing Struggle: Macron’s statement highlights the growing complexity of the conflict as it nears its fourth year. Despite Ukraine’s strong resistance and international support, the war shows no sign of ending soon, with significant challenges ahead.
• No “Quick and Easy” Solution: Macron underscored the difficult nature of the conflict, acknowledging the significant losses on both sides and the complicated political and military dynamics at play. His remarks suggest a long and uncertain road ahead for peace.
• Significance of French Leadership: As one of the key EU leaders involved in supporting Ukraine, Macron’s comments may shape France’s stance in future negotiations and international efforts to seek a balanced resolution to the conflict.
• Ukraine’s Future Strategy: Macron’s advice encourages Ukraine to assess its next steps with caution, possibly signaling a shift towards more strategic and less optimistic goals in the face of prolonged conflict.
• Moldova Summons Russian Diplomat: Moldovan authorities have called in a Russian diplomat to express concerns about the deteriorating situation in Transnistria. The breakaway region is at risk of a total electricity blackout after Russia cut off its gas supplies.
• Electricity Crisis in Transnistria: The ongoing energy crisis in Transnistria could lead to a full-scale blackout, highlighting the growing instability in the region. Moldova is closely monitoring the situation as it could impact regional security dynamics.
• US Ukraine Envoy Postpones Trip: Keith Kellogg, the retired Lieutenant-General who is set to be President-elect Donald Trump’s Ukraine envoy, has delayed a fact-finding visit to Kyiv and other European capitals. The trip will take place after Trump’s inauguration on January 20, sources confirm.
• Russian Orthodox Church Patriarch’s Remarks: The patriarch of Russia’s Orthodox Church, alongside President Vladimir Putin, celebrated Christmas while commenting that the Western world despises Russia. He emphasized Russia’s unique “alternative path of civilised development,” positioning the country in opposition to Western values.
• Moldovan Authorities Concerned Over Transnistria Situation: Moldovan officials are increasingly worried about the security situation in the breakaway region of Transnistria. The area faces a critical energy shortage after Russia cut off its gas supply, exacerbating tensions and instability.
• Ukraine Envoy’s Postponed Visit Due to Trump Inauguration: Keith Kellogg, President-elect Donald Trump’s designated Ukraine envoy, has rescheduled his visit to Kyiv and European capitals until after Trump’s inauguration. The delay underscores the transition period in U.S. foreign policy.
• Russian Orthodox Church Criticizes the West: The patriarch of Russia’s Orthodox Church, who marked Christmas alongside Vladimir Putin, lashed out at the West, claiming that Western nations despise Russia. He presented Russia’s alternative civilizational model as one of resistance to Western liberalism.
• Continued Russian Energy Pressure on Moldova: The situation in Transnistria highlights Moldova’s vulnerability, as Russia uses energy resources to exert political influence over the region. Moldova faces mounting pressure to navigate the geopolitical challenges surrounding its breakaway region.

COURTESY: Al Jazeera English

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  Six people killed in Kiev artillery strikes at LPR in April – JCCC
  14 people killed, 56 wounded in Kiev artillery strikes at LPR in May
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